England’s Chances

7 01 2010

Due to my wildly inaccurate predictions during this series I would not put too much stock by what I have to say here. However….

England are resuming on 132-3 having lost 3 annoying and unnecessary wickets last night. Strauss and Cook were going so well I was beginning again to feel confident that we would get through the day relatively unscathed. Unfortunately Cook then played a silly pull shot, Strauss was caught (at least he alone was a victim of the pitch) and KP was pinned LBW trying to work a ball that started outside off stump through mid wicket.

This leaves us with Jimmy A and Trott in full defensive mode at the crease.

We can write off the win as with Trott batting as he will, we won’t score quickly enough to even get close. However Trott in this mode and with the likely swift removal of Jimmy A and Colly to then come, I do believe we can and will save the test. As it is England we will not make it easy and it will probably come down to Graham Onions seeing out the last 4 overs to secure the win.

I reserve the right to change my opinion however if Colly is out early as I don’t see anyone else playing the limpet role other than Trott. He’s already in and is unlikely to bat the full day so we need Colly to take over from him when Trott’s dismissed.

My prediction is that England will finish the day around 340-9. It would be better as an England supporter that it should be 340-6 but when does that ever happen.

If we lose it will happen quickly and the game will be over around tea time.

Nothing like covering all bases.



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